Corey’s Hutch colleague and coauthor Bedford is an expert in evolutionary biology and has been tracking the family trees of SARS-CoV-2 since the earliest days of the pandemic. He notes that the multiple mutations that have created most of the alarming “variants of interest” and “variants of concern,” now designated by Greek letters such as beta and gamma, appear to have emerged in a kind of normal, stepwise accumulation of mutations. But the so-called alpha variant, which popped up in the United Kingdom, is different.
“Basically, the entire suite of mutations associated with the alpha variant appears at the same time. While it’s possible that a transmission chain percolated along and gathered multiple mutations before taking off, this pattern is consistent with emergence from a single persistent infection,” Bedford said.
The precise origins in India of the delta variant, the most worrisome to date, have yet to be determined. But the authors note that it is characterized by “a constellation of mutations that were identified in previous variants of concern or interest.” This mashup of nasty traits has emerged rapidly with an evolutionary advantage of higher transmissibility and is quickly out-competing other variants. It is now dominant in the U.S. and worldwide.
Changes needed to address concerns
In the New England Journal of Medicine article, the authors call for steps to address their concerns about saltational evolution of SARS-CoV-2 in immunosuppressed patients. They include tightening the precautions taken within medical settings to reduce the risk of such patients transmitting the virus to staff, family or other patients.
Immunosuppressed patients should also be informed about the need to self-isolate until testing shows they are no longer shedding virus, and about the need for their household contacts to be vaccinated.
One step would be to prioritize those patients for immunizations, and to carry out studies of antibody and T-cell responses in such patients who are vaccinated. There are strong indications in recent studies that a third mRNA vaccination (such as the Moderna vaccine) may be beneficial to people who have difficulties generating an immune response to the first two.
The authors also recommend that nursing homes, where vaccination rates are high, provide monoclonal antibody infusions to patients who show low antibody responses to vaccines, as well as to their family members. Co-author Dr. Myron Cohen, of the University of North Carolina, helped design and run a study supporting that approach. He is a longtime collaborator with Corey, and both are co-principal investigators of the COVID-19 Prevention Network, which manages trials of vaccines and monoclonal antibody drugs to prevent the disease.
Given that some variants have begun to show resistance to currently available monoclonal antibody drugs, the authors note that new COVID-19 antiviral drugs in development, such as Merck’s molnupiravir — now in large-scale testing — do not target the rapidly evolving spike proteins that endow new variants with possible evolutionary advantages. Instead, these drugs — which interfere with the virus’s ability to copy itself — provide “an alternative mechanism of protection that should be unaffected by mutations that compromise monoclonal antibodies.”
Finally, the authors call for development of rapid tests to identify variants with potential to escape vaccines and therapies. Together, these steps may improve the care of immunosuppressed patients who are struggling with COVID-19 and protect public health by helping to head off the rise of future variants of concern.